Anyone for Toast?

In Slate Magazine, William Saletan says the polls are so stacked against John McCain, there’s no possibility he can win. The race is over.

Oh, wait. That was eight years ago, and he was talking about George W. Bush.

Why Bush Is Toast.

Since Labor Day, the media have released about 20 polls on the presidential race. Three show a dead heat, one shows George W. Bush leading by a single percentage point, and the rest show Al Gore leading by one to 10 points. In the latest polls, Gore leads by an average of five points. It’s fashionable at this stage to caution that “anything can happen,” that Bush is “retooling,” and that the numbers can turn in Bush’s favor just as easily as they turned against him. But they can’t. The numbers are moving toward Gore because fundamental dynamics tilt the election in his favor. The only question has been how far those dynamics would carry him. Now that he has passed Bush, the race is over.

(Hat tip: Tim Blair.)

Obama Surges in Swing States

he latest polls reported by Fox are not good news for the McCain campaign. In the swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, Obama’s lead has grown significantly.

Florida:
Obama – 51%
McCain – 43%

Ohio:
Obama – 50%
McCain – 42%

Pennsylvania:
Obama – 54%
McCain – 39%

The polls are from Quinnipiac University, September 27-29, margin of error: +/- 3.4.

UPDATE at 10/1/08 3:27:02 pm:

AP Poll: Obama takes a 7-point lead over McCain.

(Hat tip:LGf Cult Leader)

Quotations from Chairman Markos

“Be zen.

Freaking out over crappy pollsters is just lame.”

(Charles the son of Kos)

McCain Takes 5-Point Lead in Zogby Poll

Big trouble for the little messiah: Poll shows McCain in 5-point lead over Obama.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama’s solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.

(Charlie the Fraud)